Kentucky Derby Day

The first Saturday in May is my favorite day of the year.  My pick this afternoon is Big Brown.  I think he’s got the stamina and can carry his speed the mile and a quarter.  Further, Kent Desourmeaux is smart, deliberative and will make the 20 post irrelevant.  And, I’m a little tired of commentors who point out that ‘this’ or ‘that’ has a) never happened, or b) hasn’t happened in 80 years to promote the view that it won’t happen.  The horse doesn’t know that.  I’m also still impressed with Richard Dutrow winning both races at Dubai in which he had a horse.  I think the guy knows what he’s doing.

For second, I like Colonel John (conventional).  I like the way he closed in the Santa Anita.  I also like Eight Belles.

I wish that the race commissioners would limit this race to 15 horses.  I think that time has proven that 20 horses is too many and puts too much on racing luck and detracts from ability and preparation.

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